Cearense 1 Semi-finals
Global 4-8
Guarany de Sobral vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
ICA
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
CEA
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
3 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 2
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 3
CEA
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |