Guarany de Bagé vs São Luiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 3
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEL
55%
24%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
1 - 0
GUA
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 0
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 2
SCI
9%
23%
68%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 1
PEL
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GRE
5 - 0
SLU
88%
9%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
YPI
1 - 1
SLU
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 1
ECS
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
SLU
2 - 1
ECA
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |