Guarany de Bagé vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
1 - 0
GUA
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 0
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 2
SCI
9%
23%
68%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 4
JUV
11%
22%
67%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 1
GUA
96%
3%
1%
|
51 | 90 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
PEL
1 - 0
ECA
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PEL
1 - 2
MON
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
ECS
1 - 1
PEL
82%
14%
4%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
PEL
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 0
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |