Guarany de Bagé vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
YPI
1 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 3
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEL
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
1 - 0
GUA
88%
9%
3%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 0
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CAX
1 - 0
SLU
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
ECA
0 - 1
CAX
14%
24%
62%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAX
0 - 2
JUV
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CAX
4 - 2
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
GRE
4 - 0
CAX
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |