Guaraní vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
2 - 0
GUA
50%
20%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
UCO
2 - 0
GUA
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
OLI
3 - 3
GUA
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1965 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
GUA
2 - 1
PEÑ
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
2 - 0
GUA
50%
20%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
1 - 2
OLI
50%
20%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
52%
20%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1965 |
UCH
5 - 2
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1965 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCH
75%
15%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |