Guaraní vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
18%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
CCP
1 - 1
GUA
48%
22%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1970 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIG
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 0
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
GUA
2 - 0
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1971 |
CCP
2 - 1
UNI
53%
21%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |