Guaraní vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
CCP
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 3
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 1
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
AME
2 - 2
TAC
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TAC
5 - 1
12O
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RES
0 - 3
TAC
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 3
JLM
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |