Guaraní vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 1
JLM
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
12O
1 - 3
GUA
35%
26%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 3
AMF
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 3
RES
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 1
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
TAC
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
TAC
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 1
LIB
15%
22%
62%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
JLM
2 - 0
TAC
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |