Guaraní vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 1
2DE
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
CCP
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TAC
2 - 1
CCP
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
TAC
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 1
LQE
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
12O
2 - 3
TAC
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |