Guaraní vs Sportivo Trinidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
8º
6º
12
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 40 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 37 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 36 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 33 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 32 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 30 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 28 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 27 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 24 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 23 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 2
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Trinidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SPT
0 - 2
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SPT
2 - 3
TAC
53%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
SPT
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
JLM
2 - 1
SPT
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |