Guaraní vs Sportivo Trinidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
AME
1 - 2
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 3
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
SPT
0 - 3
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Trinidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
SPT
1 - 1
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
SPT
0 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
AME
1 - 1
SPT
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
LQE
3 - 3
SPT
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
SPT
0 - 3
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |