Guaraní vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
GEN
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 0
GUA
19%
25%
57%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
CCP
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 3
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
LQE
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
12O
0 - 1
SPO
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 1
SPO
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 1
SPO
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |