Guaraní vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 5
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
AME
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 3
GUA
16%
24%
60%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
RPA
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 2
SPO
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 4
OLI
8%
17%
75%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 1
SPO
44%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |