Guaraní vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 0
GUA
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
12O
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
LQE
0 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 0
LQE
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
LQE
4 - 1
GEN
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 1
LQE
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
LQE
2 - 2
AME
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |