Guaraní vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
COR
0 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
GUA
18%
22%
59%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
COR
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
LQE
0 - 0
AME
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 1
LQE
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
LQE
39%
28%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LQE
3 - 0
LIB
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |