Guaraní vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 2
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
GEN
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 4
GUA
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
RÑU
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
LQE
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 1
LIB
30%
27%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
LQE
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CER
0 - 2
LQE
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
LQE
2 - 2
DEP
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |