Guaraní vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
13.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
LIB
38%
29%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
GEN
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
CCP
0 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
IND
0 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
LQE
4 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 3
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
LQE
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 1
GEN
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
LQE
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |