Guaraní vs Sport Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2010 |
SPT
0 - 3
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
LQE
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 4
GUA
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
CCP
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
SPC
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 1
LIB
27%
30%
43%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 2
AME
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPC
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |