Guaraní vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 2
GUA
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
50%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 3
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 2
GUA
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
LIB
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
IND
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
AME
0 - 3
DEP
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
RPA
2 - 4
AME
35%
28%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 2
AME
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |