Guaraní vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
RÑU
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
TAC
1 - 1
GUA
28%
23%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LQE
1 - 3
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 2
TAC
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
RÑU
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AME
1 - 0
LQE
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |