Guaraní vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 5
LIB
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
RÑU
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 1
RÑU
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CER
3 - 1
RÑU
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |