Guaraní vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 2
LQE
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
CCP
3 - 4
GUA
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 2
GUA
32%
25%
44%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 3
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 3
RPA
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 3
LIB
22%
29%
50%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
LQE
2 - 0
RPA
69%
19%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 1
AME
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |