Guaraní vs Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
10º
4º
19
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 1
GUA
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
AME
51%
24%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
VRS
0 - 14
GUA
4%
11%
85%
|
78 | 12 | 66 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
29%
28%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
BOT
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
RES
2 - 1
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 0
RES
51%
25%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
LIB
23%
26%
52%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
LQE
2 - 2
RES
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
CCP
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |