Guaraní vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
SPC
2 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
SPO
0 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2002 |
LQE
2 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 3
CCP
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
OLI
2 - 2
REC
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
LQE
2 - 0
REC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
REC
2 - 4
CCP
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
3 - 1
REC
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
REC
1 - 2
12O
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |