Guaraní vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
UCH
0 - 0
GUA
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1970 |
CSD
0 - 1
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1970 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAL
59%
19%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
GUA
4 - 1
AME
65%
17%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1970 |
OLI
0 - 0
GUA
54%
20%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 3
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
11 - 2
VAL
87%
9%
5%
|
84 | 31 | 53 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
GAL
80%
14%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 1
PEÑ
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |