Guaraní vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 1
NAC
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
72%
16%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
2 - 2
GUA
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 0
LIB
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
1 - 0
PEÑ
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
72%
16%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
LIB
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
NAC
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |