Guaraní vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
GUA
3 - 1
UCO
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
UCO
4 - 1
GUA
61%
20%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
1 - 1
PEÑ
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 1
NAC
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1968 |
PAL
4 - 1
UCO
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
PAL
0 - 0
NAU
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1968 |
PAL
3 - 0
POR
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 14 | 65 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
PAL
2 - 0
GAL
75%
15%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1968 |
POR
1 - 2
PAL
28%
21%
51%
|
79 | 15 | 64 | 0 |