Guaraní vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
2 - 0
OLI
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
3 - 1
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 1
UCH
58%
19%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
2 - 0
GUA
50%
20%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
UCO
2 - 0
GUA
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
2 - 0
OLI
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1966 |
OLI
2 - 0
UCH
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1966 |
OLI
0 - 4
UCO
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UCO
0 - 0
OLI
57%
21%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
1 - 2
OLI
50%
20%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |