Guaraní vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
72%
16%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
2 - 2
GUA
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 0
LIB
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1967 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
4 - 0
LIB
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
2 - 2
GUA
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1968 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
NAC
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1967 |
RAC
2 - 1
NAC
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |