Guaraní vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
10º
4º
32
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 1
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 2
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
HUR
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
GUA
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 2
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
CRI
0 - 2
NAC
4%
12%
84%
|
78 | 13 | 65 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
TAC
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SPT
2 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |