Guaraní vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
4 - 1
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
12O
0 - 1
GUA
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
RES
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
AME
2 - 3
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
64%
23%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |