Guaraní vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
AME
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 3
GUA
16%
24%
60%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEP
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 2
SPO
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 0
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CCP
5 - 0
NAC
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |