Guaraní vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
DEP
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 1
NAC
39%
28%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 2
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |