Guaraní vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 2
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
12O
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
SAN
70%
18%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 1
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 3
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
CCP
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |