Guaraní vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
2DE
0 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
2DE
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
LQE
0 - 2
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
RÑU
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
38%
26%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
2DE
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |