Guaraní vs Millonarios analysis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

25.3%

Draw

0-0

25.3%

74.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
34.8%
-1
34.8%
0-2
23.9%
-2
23.9%
0-3
10.9%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.8%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+11%

+14%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guaraní

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
25 Aug. 2012	NAC 1 - 2 GUA 51% 25% 23%	73	75	2	0
19 Aug. 2012	GUA 1 - 0 LQE 66% 22% 12%	73	64	9	0
13 Aug. 2012	LIB 0 - 0 GUA 56% 24% 20%	73	79	6	0
05 Aug. 2012	GUA 3 - 1 IND 58% 24% 18%	72	66	6	+1
31 Jul. 2012	CCP 1 - 2 GUA 58% 24% 19%	71	79	8	+1

Matches

Millonarios

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
30 Aug. 2012	CAR 0 - 2 MIL 31% 26% 43%	78	66	12	0
27 Aug. 2012	MIL 2 - 1 ONC 40% 26% 34%	78	81	3	0
19 Aug. 2012	NAC 0 - 0 MIL 54% 24% 22%	77	81	4	+1
12 Aug. 2012	MIL 2 - 0 EQU 54% 25% 21%	77	76	1	0
05 Aug. 2012	HUI 0 - 4 MIL 39% 27% 34%	76	71	5	+1