Guaraní vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 0
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
GUA
2 - 0
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
UCH
0 - 0
GUA
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1970 |
CSD
0 - 1
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 0
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 3
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
AME
1 - 3
LIG
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1970 |
UNI
2 - 0
LIG
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
ARI
0 - 0
LIG
25%
21%
55%
|
76 | 16 | 60 | 0 |