Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
8º
2º
26
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
2DE
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SPT
0 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
LQE
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
NAC
49%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
UCE
1 - 1
LIB
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 4
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
UCE
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 3
LIB
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |