Guaraní vs Libertad analysis


74	ELO	75
0.5%	Tilt	-6.4%
474º	General ELO ranking	471º
5º	Country ELO ranking	4º
ELO win probability

55.5%

Guaraní

21.1%

Draw

23.4%

Libertad

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

55.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%

21.1%

Draw

0-0

3.5%

1-1

9.3%

2-2

6.2%

3-3

1.8%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

21.1%

23.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+4%

+15%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches