Guaraní vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 6
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
LQE
0 - 0
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
JWI
0 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
RPO
2 - 1
JWI
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
JWI
6 - 2
BLO
54%
23%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 2
JWI
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
JWI
0 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 1
JWI
28%
26%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |