Guaraní vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 3
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 3
BOC
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
2 - 0
OLI
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
3 - 1
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1966 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
IND
0 - 0
CEN
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1966 |
BOC
0 - 2
IND
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
VEL
1 - 1
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
IND
4 - 0
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |