Guaraní vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
TAC
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NAC
5 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
IND
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 5
GUA
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 2
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
IND
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
IND
0 - 2
OLI
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
IND
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |