Guaraní vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
TAC
59%
24%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
TOL
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IND
5 - 1
NAC
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
LIB
27%
30%
43%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 2
IND
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |