Guaraní vs Guaireña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
10º
4º
24
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
CDR
92%
7%
2%
|
80 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 3
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |