Guaraní vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
8º
6º
16
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 41 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 34 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 33 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 33 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 33 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 31 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 30 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 29 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 29 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 23 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 23 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
5.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 7
GUA
4%
9%
88%
|
77 | 8 | 69 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 1
GUA
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
2DE
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
JLM
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 0
NAC
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 1
JLM
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
JLM
2 - 1
CCP
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AME
3 - 0
JLM
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |