Guaraní vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 4
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
OLI
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 4
GUA
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
AME
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 1
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 4
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIB
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
CER
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |