Guaraní vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
CER
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 0
GUA
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 4
TAC
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
5 - 1
LQE
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
CAR
73%
19%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |