Guaraní vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
LQE
69%
20%
10%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
TAC
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
TAC
56%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |