Guaraní vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 0
GUA
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LQE
0 - 1
GUA
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
DEP
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
OLI
32%
27%
42%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 2
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
AME
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |