Guaraní vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
RÑU
65%
19%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 2
CCP
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AME
2 - 4
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 2
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEP
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 3
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
LQE
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |